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Shuffle Up and Deal - Riddler Classic

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From Matt Ginsberg, shuffle up and deal 
 and rearrange 
 and calculate:

You love to play cards. Bridge, spades, hearts, euchre, whist, setback, pitch, pinochle, bezique, sheepshead, Ă©cartĂ©, krutzjass, baloot, königrufen 
 you name it. If there are tricks to be taken, you want to take them.

You play so many card games that you’ve developed a very specific organizational obsession. When you’re dealt your hand, you want to organize it such that the cards of a given suit are grouped together and, if possible, such that no suited groups of the same color are adjacent. (Numbers don’t matter to you.) Moreover, when you receive your randomly ordered hand, you want to achieve this organization with a single motion, moving only one adjacent block of cards to some other position in your hand, maintaining the original order of that block and other cards, except for that one move.

Suppose you’re playing pitch, in which a hand has six cards. What are the odds that you can accomplish your obsessive goal? What about for another game, where a hand has N cards, somewhere between 1 and 13?

Editor’s note: Matt has no idea what the answer is (yet). His guess, for the record, is 57 percent.


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